Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-23 3.654317 4.074988 4.532004 5.066612 5.676374 6.351958 7.159577
2025-03-30 3.043997 3.605714 4.260645 5.085384 6.102819 7.325359 8.918308
2025-04-06 2.632318 3.257409 4.024845 5.045791 6.382515 8.092830 10.478643
2025-04-13 2.244861 2.870995 3.670431 4.779847 6.301521 8.347931 11.364226
2025-04-20 2.047389 2.696378 3.554577 4.792014 6.563190 9.057981 12.931329
2025-04-27 1.917775 2.593261 3.515317 4.892211 6.942257 9.957763 14.876562
2025-05-04 1.807912 2.503336 3.480186 4.986177 7.311269 10.872126 16.957510
2025-05-11 1.702497 2.407994 3.424880 5.038672 7.614470 11.709509 19.020639
2025-05-18 1.606910 2.317363 3.365915 5.075157 7.889310 12.523677 21.150156
2025-05-25 1.477795 2.165613 3.200864 4.926597 7.843055 12.791594 22.338499
2025-06-01 1.384473 2.061015 3.099132 4.868397 7.937283 13.303254 24.038638
2025-06-08 1.306136 1.973687 3.017035 4.833418 8.064293 13.881252 25.942643
2025-06-15 1.277516 1.964781 3.062592 5.022804 8.616380 15.319658 29.840907
2025-06-22 1.211478 1.890613 2.995239 5.009828 8.798223 16.080882 32.462355
2025-06-29 1.145808 1.812346 2.914767 4.965307 8.914193 16.724037 34.932985
2025-07-06 1.048597 1.675012 2.723873 4.703341 8.583289 16.421317 35.196784
2025-07-13 1.005020 1.626074 2.682713 4.715109 8.792405 17.263641 38.301855
2025-07-20 0.978355 1.604368 2.687549 4.813396 9.185190 18.546760 42.726489
2025-07-27 0.952458 1.582167 2.689536 4.905587 9.574105 19.871529 47.523464
2025-08-03 0.922435 1.550625 2.672003 4.957090 9.880902 21.048970 52.171533
2025-08-10 0.892268 1.516909 2.647938 4.992884 10.156361 22.188726 56.957077
2025-08-17 0.840735 1.441189 2.539886 4.847127 10.010113 22.287044 58.745976
2025-08-24 0.803860 1.390601 2.476701 4.790022 10.060238 22.878788 62.138890